Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.832489 2.107394 2.409590 2.766468 3.176501 3.632986 4.179963
2025-06-08 1.416000 1.767529 2.186398 2.722465 3.390768 4.197171 5.245361
2025-06-15 1.215047 1.628063 2.155713 2.879668 3.848336 5.101630 6.849928
2025-06-22 1.027651 1.466096 2.061865 2.931287 4.169855 5.874638 8.406704
2025-06-29 0.862297 1.301326 1.931784 2.904185 4.369634 6.501921 9.852675
2025-07-06 0.707718 1.123793 1.751935 2.770591 4.386070 6.858071 10.946676
2025-07-13 0.641940 1.068175 1.741948 2.886232 4.788198 7.836764 13.122654
2025-07-20 0.591168 1.027214 1.746462 3.021335 5.234566 8.937819 15.646129
2025-07-27 0.541229 0.979141 1.730675 3.116942 5.623181 9.988202 18.225025
2025-08-03 0.490263 0.921109 1.688510 3.157980 5.917708 10.908479 20.694549
2025-08-10 0.428937 0.835061 1.584158 3.069969 5.962189 11.381162 22.398204
2025-08-17 0.369363 0.743672 1.457284 2.920653 5.867455 11.576981 23.589330
2025-08-24 0.331518 0.691021 1.400167 2.905226 6.043940 12.339476 26.061905
2025-08-31 0.294170 0.634117 1.327192 2.847980 6.128975 12.934541 28.287038
2025-09-07 0.281725 0.627500 1.355512 3.005731 6.685813 14.573335 32.973456
2025-09-14 0.260859 0.599604 1.335225 3.055656 7.016518 15.777704 36.886865
2025-09-21 0.236038 0.559241 1.282321 3.025124 7.162535 16.596416 40.045267
2025-09-28 0.206432 0.503547 1.187568 2.884683 7.034356 16.776754 41.729444
2025-10-05 0.197502 0.495727 1.201855 3.004353 7.541323 18.503043 47.418029
2025-10-12 0.190362 0.491247 1.223365 3.144554 8.118412 20.475498 54.018378
2025-10-19 0.181289 0.480583 1.228330 3.243806 8.606267 22.294058 60.496513
2025-10-26 0.169974 0.462485 1.212249 3.286362 8.953024 23.801884 66.378553
2025-11-02 0.153319 0.427797 1.148961 3.194664 8.928650 24.339797 69.696905